Jannik Sinner continues his chase for the second spot in the ATP rankings, currently held by Carlos Alcaraz. The Spanish tennis player has managed to maintain his position in recent months thanks to his victory at Indian Wells, in the final against Medvedev. The Italian tennis player is continuing to win and reach the final stages of various tournaments, just as he is doing at the ATP Miami, an American tournament won by the Russian last year. Specifically, the journey in the final stages could change the upper zones of the world rankings, but for that scenario to come true is very difficult.
Illness during the match between Sinner and O'Connell, match suspended: here's what happened
What Needs to Happen at ATP Miami
For Jannik Sinner to surpass Carlos Alcaraz in the rankings during this ATP Miami, there is only one possible scenario among all imaginable ones. With ranking points in hand, Alcaraz won 360 last year by reaching the semifinals, while the Italian 650 for losing in the final against Medvedev.
For the overtaking to happen, Alcaraz must be eliminated in the quarterfinals and thus lose against Dimitrov in the next round of ATP Miami. This would mean that the Spaniard would lose at least 160 points in the ranking, bringing him to 8,645. However, for the overtaking in the rankings to occur, Sinner would then have to win the final, gaining 350 more points than in 2023. Thus, with this increase in points, Jannik would reach 8,660 and thus secure the spot behind Djokovic by 15 points.
Eyes on the Monte-Carlo Masters
If the results were to remain unchanged, and therefore Alcaraz is eliminated in the semifinals, with Sinner losing only in the final, then all eyes would be on the Monte-Carlo Masters 1000. Among the two, only the South Tyrolean has participated in this tournament, with the Spaniard preferring to focus on the ATP 500 in Barcelona (which he won). Each round advanced by Alcaraz in Monte-Carlo, therefore, would bring additional points in the rankings that would distance Sinner. Last year, he reached the semifinals, earning 360 points.
It is difficult to speculate that the overtaking will occur in Monte-Carlo, but it is possible to make predictions that resemble more hypotheses and clumsy attempts at fortune-telling rather than true prophecies. Imagining that Alcaraz stops in the semifinals both in Miami and Monte-Carlo, he would earn 360 points, reaching a total of 9,165. Therefore, for Sinner to surpass him, he would need to reach at least the final, setting aside the 650 points that would allow him to reach a total of 9,310, making him number 2 in the world.
This article is automatically translated